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May the Best Hi Def WinPosted by Aki in Hardware, Hot Topic at 23:42 | Saturday, March 1. 2008Trackbacks
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This says it all why OPEN media will be here to stay.
http://www.dvdjournal.com/extra/divx.html
#1
on
2008-03-19 05:02
Great article Aki! I too love the HD DVD format, and was really bummed when I heard the Warner and Toshiba announcements. I never understood why HD DVD wasn't doing better. I purchased many of my HD DVDs from Wal Mart, and it seemed the HD DVD rack was always empty, while the Blu-ray side was completely full. It's interesting that the studios are making the final decision here, and not the consumers. This decision may come back to haunt them.
Do you see a future where neither Blu-ray nor HD DVD is the winner? Does Blu-ray have the staying power? There are other formats, right? I will say, after committing to HD DVD, I won't be purchasing a Blu-ray player anytime in the foreseeable future -- if ever. Without the lack of competition, Blu-ray prices won't be going down anytime soon.
I think it�s important to look at why the industry gave so much support to Blu-Ray. It is true you can store more data on a Blu-ray disk than a HD-DVD. It does however represent a significant investment from media duplicators that will have to be recouped. Are the Studios willing to bear this per unit cost to be nice to us and give us more content? I doubt it. I believe there are a couple of reasons, Copy Protection and control. The BD-Live Profile 2.0 (not available yet) has 1GB of local storage and Internet connectivity as mandatory prerequisites for the players. The ability to change encryption on the fly as well as disable non conforming players from the mother ship are two early �features� talked about by Sony and other Studios.
Imagine the brave new world where part of your DVD collection stops working because of a licensing contract dispute between a studio and Sony. Maybe one day your player refuses to work any longer because some hacker was spoofing your IP while doing something Sony decided he shouldn�t. What if your internet goes down, will you be able to get the crypto �key of the day� by other means? How about pay per view Blu-ray movie and game disks? They can even collect demographics on what you watch when. How exciting! I�m probably just being paranoid, I�m sure they will do the right thing for the consumers. I mean after all look at how well they took care of me when I bought my memory stick walkman! I received more fun out of that thing, using it for target practice, than I ever did trying to get music on it. I have a few other personal examples I could reference but I don�t want to appear bitter I like technology that makes my life simpler; I don�t see that happening here. There is a good chance Blu-ray will collapse under the weight of Sony�s greed. They did it with portable music players and it appears they have not learned anything. A new quote for the format wars; �Consumers that are willing to give up necessary freedoms for a little HD deserve neither�
BD had the natural push of millions of PS3's behind it. Microsoft wasn't willing to do the same (as quickly anyway) with XBox's, thus HD lagged behind.
I actually expect HD to stick around. BD's problem is that it's "owned" by Sony, which has a poor track record of knowing what to do when they "own" a market segment. It's a real possibility that if HD goes away completely, BD won't make it unless their prices are massively adjusted downward. DVD is pretty good, and except for some looking for the last mile, it'll likely be good enough, if the prices are wildly different just to fill in a few more pixels on the screen. The problem that some content publishers seem to miss is that there's a magic price point for content. VHS used to be there, then replaced by DVD. HD or BD won't long survive above it either. Interestingly HD content is now for a large part available at that point. BD isn't yet.
That's a great point about Sony "owning" the market, Aki. I hadn't thought about that during this battle. Sony lost out to Apple in the portable music space (Sony players are just plain bad - after the famous walkman, how could this have happened?). I'm curious to see if Sony will get it right this time or lose out to an upcoming 3rd competitor...
#5
on
2008-03-03 15:33
I'm curious about what impact on-line services will have. Already Netflix allows you to watch movies "on-demand" via a broadband connection - assuming you have a windows machine at home, which I don't, so I assume this works well.
Could we eventually have a similar feature for watching HD content on demand? Granted it will consume vast quantities of bandwidth, so it might not currently be feasible, but perhaps in the future? Then maybe the HD vs. BD debate will have been meaningless.
#6
on
2008-03-04 15:18
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